Hyun-Soo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Interpretable, Data-driven Models for Predicting Shaft Power, Fuel Consumption, and Speed Considering the Effects of Hull Fouling and Weather Conditions”, International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 16, pp. 100592.1-20, 2024.04.14
International Journal
2024.04.06 16:29
Hyun-Soo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Interpretable, Data-driven Models for Predicting Shaft Power, Fuel Consumption, and Speed Considering the Effects of Hull Fouling and Weather Conditions”, IJNAOE, 2024.04.14
조회 수 371
| 첨부 '1' |
|---|
| Abstract | In response to the global call for action to reduce CO2 emissions, operational measures such as speed, route optimization, and hull cleaning play a significant role in the maritime industry. These measures can be implemented immediately without significant investment in both newbuilding ships and existing ships. To make accurate decisions regarding operational measures, reliable and precise models of environmental conditions and effects of hull fouling are required. In this study, a data-driven approach using linear regression was applied to predict shaft power, fuel consumption, and speed after intensive data preparation and feature engineering. First, a shaft power prediction model was developed by combining three independent submodels: the RPM-power model, hull fouling model, and environmental effect model. Subsequently, fuel consumption and speed prediction models were developed based on the shaft power prediction model. Model validation was performed on a 174K LNG carrier, and the results showed good accuracy even in long-term ship operations of more than two years. The mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) of the prediction models were 1.60%, 1.70%, and 2.68% for the shaft power, fuel consumption, and speed, respectively. The validated models were applied to two LNG carriers, and satisfactory results were obtained. This study contributes to greenhouse gas (GHS) reduction by providing interpretable, flexible, and accurate models that can help make correct decisions regarding optimal operational measures. |
|---|---|
| Publication Date | 2024-04-14 |
| Role | Corresponding Author |
| Category | SCIE |
-
Ki-Su Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Review of Ship Arrangement Design Using Optimization Methods”, accepted for publication in Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, 2024.12.07
-
Dong-Woo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, Do-Hyun Chun, Sun-Hong Woo, Yong-Tai Kim, “A Method for the Profile Optimization of the Primary Barrier of a Membrane-type LNG Tank Using Surrogate Modeling”, accepted for publication in Ocean Engineering, 2024.12.06
-
Ha-Yun Kim, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, In-Chang Yeo, Yeong-Min Jo, Jisang Ha, Nam-Sun Son, “A Hybrid Tracking Method for Maritime Obstacles Using Sensor Data”, Ocean Engineering, Vol. 312, Part 2, 2024.09.16
-
Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, "Ship Route Planning for Collision Avoidance Based on the Improved Isochrone Method", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2024.08.14
-
Jeong-Ho Park, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Yeong-Min Jo, Jisang Ha, Nam-Sun Son, "Multi-vessel Target Tracking with Camera Fusion for Unmanned Surface Vehicles", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 16, 2024.07.14
-
Min-Chul Kong, Myung-Il Roh, "A Method for Implementing a Ship Navigation Simulator for the Generation and Utilization of Virtual Data", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2024.06.25
-
Jin-Hyeok Kim, Myung-Il Roh, In-Chang Yeo, "Hull Form Optimization of Fully Parameterized Small Ships Using Characteristic Curves and Deep Neural Networks", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2024.05.08
-
Hyun-Soo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Interpretable, Data-driven Models for Predicting Shaft Power, Fuel Consumption, and Speed Considering the Effects of Hull Fouling and Weather Conditions”, IJNAOE, 2024.04.14
-
Donghun Yu, Myung-Il Roh, “Method for Anti-collision Path Planning Using Velocity Obstacle and A* Algorithms for a Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship”, International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 16, 2024.02.02
-
Do-Hyun Chun, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Donghun Yu, "Method for Collision Avoidance Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning with Path-Speed Control for an Autonomous Ship", IJNAOE, Vol. 16, pp. 100579.1-19, 2023.12.22
-
Do-Hyun Chun, Myung-Il Roh, In-Chang Yeo, Hye-Won Lee, “Proposed Method for Design Optimization of LNG Tanks Based on the Arrangement of Thermal Insulation Panels”, Ocean Engineering, Vol. 288, Part 2, pp. 116063.1-14, 2023.11.15
-
Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, Jin-Hyeok Kim, "Method for Pipe Routing Using the Expert System and the Heuristic Pathfinding Algorithm in Shipbuilding", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2023.05.26
-
In-Chang Yeo, Myung-Il Roh, Do-Hyun Chun, Seok Ho Jang, Jae Won Heo, "Optimal Arrangement Design of Pipeline Support by Considering Safety and Production Cost", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2023.05.10
-
Hye-Won Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Yeong-Min Cho, Jeong-Ho Park, "Data Association for Autonomous Ships Based on the Virtual Simulation Environment", Ocean Engineering, Vol. 281, pp. 114646.1-17, 2023.08.01
-
Min-Chul Kong, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, Ho-Gyun Park, Jong-Oh Kim, "Variable Indexing Method in Rule Documents for Ship Design Using Extraction of PDF Elements", Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 9, No. 6, 2022.11.16
-
Jin-Hyeok Kim, Myung-Il Roh et al., "Prediction of the Superiority of the Hydrodynamic Performance of Hull Forms Using Deep Learning", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 49, pp. 100490.1-15, pp. 2022.11.01
-
Do-Hyun Chun, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, "Automation of Crane Control for Block Lifting Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning", Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 1430- 1448, 2022.07.23
-
Min-Chul Kong, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, Jeongyoul Lee, Jongoh Kim, Gapheon Lee, "Object Detection Method for Ship Safety Plans Using Deep Learning", Ocean Engineering, 2022.02.15
-
Ki-Su Kim, Myung-Il Roh, Seung-Min Lee, "Quasi-static Flooding Analysis Method of a Damaged Ship Considering Oil Spill and Cargo Load", Journal of Ship Production and Design, 2022.02.10
-
Won-Jae Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Jisang Ha, Yeong-Min Cho, Nam-Sun Son, “Detection and Tracking for the Awareness of Surroundings of a Ship Based on Deep Learning”, Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 8, No. 5
