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Abstract In response to the global call for action to reduce CO2 emissions, operational measures such as speed, route optimization, and hull cleaning play a significant role in the maritime industry. These measures can be implemented immediately without significant investment in both newbuilding ships and existing ships. To make accurate decisions regarding operational measures, reliable and precise models of environmental conditions and effects of hull fouling are required. In this study, a data-driven approach using linear regression was applied to predict shaft power, fuel consumption, and speed after intensive data preparation and feature engineering. First, a shaft power prediction model was developed by combining three independent submodels: the RPM-power model, hull fouling model, and environmental effect model. Subsequently, fuel consumption and speed prediction models were developed based on the shaft power prediction model. Model validation was performed on a 174K LNG carrier, and the results showed good accuracy even in long-term ship operations of more than two years. The mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) of the prediction models were 1.60%, 1.70%, and 2.68% for the shaft power, fuel consumption, and speed, respectively. The validated models were applied to two LNG carriers, and satisfactory results were obtained. This study contributes to greenhouse gas (GHS) reduction by providing interpretable, flexible, and accurate models that can help make correct decisions regarding optimal operational measures.
Publication Date 2024-04-14
Role Corresponding Author
Category SCIE

Hyun-Soo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Interpretable, Data-driven Models for Predicting Shaft Power, Fuel Consumption, and Speed Considering the Effects of Hull Fouling and Weather Conditions”, International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 16, pp. 100592.1-20, 2024.04.14


List of Articles
번호 분류 제목 Publication Date
116 International Journal Jin-Hyeok Kim, Myung-Il Roh, In-Chang Yeo, "Hull Form Optimization of Fully Parameterized Small Ships Using Characteristic Curves and Deep Neural Networks", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2024.05.05 2024-05-05
» International Journal Hyun-Soo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Interpretable, Data-driven Models for Predicting Shaft Power, Fuel Consumption, and Speed Considering the Effects of Hull Fouling and Weather Conditions”, IJNAOE, 2024.04.14 file 2024-04-14
114 International Journal Donghun Yu, Myung-Il Roh, “Method for Anti-collision Path Planning Using Velocity Obstacle and A* Algorithms for a Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship”, International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 16, 2024.02.02 file 2024-02-02
113 International Journal Do-Hyun Chun, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Donghun Yu, "Method for Collision Avoidance Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning with Path-Speed Control for an Autonomous Ship", IJNAOE, Vol. 16, pp. 100579.1-19, 2023.12.22 file 2023-12-22
112 International Journal Do-Hyun Chun, Myung-Il Roh, In-Chang Yeo, Hye-Won Lee, “Proposed Method for Design Optimization of LNG Tanks Based on the Arrangement of Thermal Insulation Panels”, Ocean Engineering, Vol. 288, Part 2, pp. 116063.1-14, 2023.11.15 file 2023-11-15
111 International Journal Hye-Won Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Yeong-Min Cho, Jeong-Ho Park, "Data Association for Autonomous Ships Based on the Virtual Simulation Environment", Ocean Engineering, Vol. 281, pp. 114646.1-17, 2023.08.01 file 2023-08-01
110 International Journal Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, Jin-Hyeok Kim, "Method for Pipe Routing Using the Expert System and the Heuristic Pathfinding Algorithm in Shipbuilding", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2023.05.26 file 2023-05-26
109 International Journal In-Chang Yeo, Myung-Il Roh, Do-Hyun Chun, Seok Ho Jang, Jae Won Heo, "Optimal Arrangement Design of Pipeline Support by Considering Safety and Production Cost", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2023.05.10 file 2023-05-10
108 International Journal Min-Chul Kong, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, Ho-Gyun Park, Jong-Oh Kim, "Variable Indexing Method in Rule Documents for Ship Design Using Extraction of PDF Elements", Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 9, No. 6, 2022.11.16 file 2022-11-16
107 International Journal Jin-Hyeok Kim, Myung-Il Roh et al., "Prediction of the Superiority of the Hydrodynamic Performance of Hull Forms Using Deep Learning", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 49, pp. 100490.1-15, pp. 2022.11.01 file 2022-11-01
106 International Journal Do-Hyun Chun, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, "Automation of Crane Control for Block Lifting Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning", Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 1430- 1448, 2022.07.23 file 2022-07-23
105 International Journal Min-Chul Kong, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, Jeongyoul Lee, Jongoh Kim, Gapheon Lee, "Object Detection Method for Ship Safety Plans Using Deep Learning", Ocean Engineering, 2022.02.15 file 2022-02-15
104 International Journal Ki-Su Kim, Myung-Il Roh, Seung-Min Lee, "Quasi-static Flooding Analysis Method of a Damaged Ship Considering Oil Spill and Cargo Load", Journal of Ship Production and Design, 2022.02.10 file 2022-02-10
103 International Journal Won-Jae Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Jisang Ha, Yeong-Min Cho, Nam-Sun Son, “Detection and Tracking for the Awareness of Surroundings of a Ship Based on Deep Learning”, Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 8, No. 5 file 2021-10-01
102 International Journal Hye-Won Lee, Joo-Hyun Woo, Myung-Il Roh, Seung-Ho Ham, et al., "Integrated Simulation of Virtual Prototypes and Control Algorithms of Unmanned Surface Vehicles Based on a Robot Operating System", Journal of Marine Science and Technology (Taiwan) file 2021-09-03
101 International Journal Do-Hyun Chun, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Jisang Ha, Donghun Yu, “Deep Reinforcement Learning-based Collision Avoidance for an Autonomous Ship”, Ocean Engineering, Vol. 234, pp. 1-20, 2021.08.15 file 2021-08-15
100 International Journal Hye-Won Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, “Ship Route Planning in Arctic Ocean Based on POLARIS”, Ocean Engineering, Vol. 234, pp. 109297.1-14, 2021.08.15 file 2021-08-15
99 International Journal June-Beom Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, “Prediction of Ship Power Based on Variation in Deep Feed-forward Neural Network”, International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2021.08.07 file 2021-08-12
98 International Journal Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Seung-Ho Ham, Sung-Jun Lee, “Optimum Design of the Underwater Discharge System Based on Surrogate Modeling”, Journal of Marine Science and Technology (Taiwan), Vol. 29, No. 3, pp. 338-353, 2021.06.01 file 2021-06-01
97 International Journal Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, “Quantitative Calculation Method of the Collision Risk for Collision Avoidance in Ship Navigation Using the CPA and Ship Domain”, Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 8, No. 3, 2021.06.01 file 2021-06-01
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