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Abstract In response to the global call for action to reduce CO2 emissions, operational measures such as speed, route optimization, and hull cleaning play a significant role in the maritime industry. These measures can be implemented immediately without significant investment in both newbuilding ships and existing ships. To make accurate decisions regarding operational measures, reliable and precise models of environmental conditions and effects of hull fouling are required. In this study, a data-driven approach using linear regression was applied to predict shaft power, fuel consumption, and speed after intensive data preparation and feature engineering. First, a shaft power prediction model was developed by combining three independent submodels: the RPM-power model, hull fouling model, and environmental effect model. Subsequently, fuel consumption and speed prediction models were developed based on the shaft power prediction model. Model validation was performed on a 174K LNG carrier, and the results showed good accuracy even in long-term ship operations of more than two years. The mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) of the prediction models were 1.60%, 1.70%, and 2.68% for the shaft power, fuel consumption, and speed, respectively. The validated models were applied to two LNG carriers, and satisfactory results were obtained. This study contributes to greenhouse gas (GHS) reduction by providing interpretable, flexible, and accurate models that can help make correct decisions regarding optimal operational measures.
Publication Date 2024-04-14
Role Corresponding Author
Category SCIE

Hyun-Soo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Interpretable, Data-driven Models for Predicting Shaft Power, Fuel Consumption, and Speed Considering the Effects of Hull Fouling and Weather Conditions”, International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 16, pp. 100592.1-20, 2024.04.14


List of Articles
번호 분류 제목 Publication Date
102 International Journal Hye-Won Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Seung-Ho Ham, Sol Ha, "Dynamic Simulation of the Wireline Riser Tensioner System for a Mobile Offshore Drilling Unit Based on Multibody System Dynamics", Ocean Engineering, Vol. 106, pp. 485-495, 2015.09.15 file 2015-09-15
101 International Journal Hye-Won Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Yeong-Min Cho, Jeong-Ho Park, "Data Association for Autonomous Ships Based on the Virtual Simulation Environment", Ocean Engineering, Vol. 281, pp. 114646.1-17, 2023.08.01 file 2023-08-01
100 International Journal Hyun-Cheol Kim, Myung-Il Roh, Soon-Hung Han, "Passenger Evacuation Simulation of MV SEWOL Considering the Heeling Angle Change During Sinking", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 329-343, 2019.01.01 file 2019-01-01
» International Journal Hyun-Soo Kim, Myung-Il Roh, “Interpretable, Data-driven Models for Predicting Shaft Power, Fuel Consumption, and Speed Considering the Effects of Hull Fouling and Weather Conditions”, IJNAOE, 2024.04.14 file 2024-04-14
98 International Journal In-Chang Yeo, Myung-Il Roh, Do-Hyun Chun, Seok Ho Jang, Jae Won Heo, "Optimal Arrangement Design of Pipeline Support by Considering Safety and Production Cost", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2023.05.10 file 2023-05-10
97 International Journal Jeong-Ho Park, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Yeong-Min Jo, Jisang Ha, Nam-Sun Son, "Multi-vessel Target Tracking with Camera Fusion for Unmanned Surface Vehicles", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 16, 2024.07.14 file 2024-07-14
96 International Journal Jeong-Woo Hong, Myung-Il Roh, Seung-Ho Ham, Sol Ha, "Dynamic Simulation of Subsea Equipment Installation Using an Offshore Support Vessel Based on Flexible Multibody System Dynamics", Journal of Marine Science and Technology (Taiwan), Vol. 24, No. 4 file 2016-08-01
95 International Journal Ji-Hyun Hwang, Myung-Il Roh, Kyu-Yeul Lee, "Determination of the Optimal Operating Condition of the Dual Mixed Refrigerant Cycle for the LNG FPSO Topside Liquefaction Process", Computers and Chemical Engineering, Vol. 49, pp. 25-36, 2013.02.01 file 2013-02-01
94 International Journal Ji-Hyun Hwang, Myung-Il Roh, Kyu-Yeul Lee, "Integrated Engineering Environment for the Process FEED of Offshore Oil and Gas Production Plants", Ocean Systems Engineering, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 49-68, 2012.03.01 file 2012-03-01
93 International Journal Ji-Hyun Hwang, Nam-Kug Ku, Myung-Il Roh, Kyu-Yeul Lee, "Optimal Design of Liquefaction Cycles of Liquefied Natural Gas", Industrial & Engineering Chemistry Research, Vol. 52, No. 15, pp. 5341-5356, 2013.03.01 file 2013-03-01
92 International Journal Jin-Hyeok Kim, Myung-Il Roh et al., "Prediction of the Superiority of the Hydrodynamic Performance of Hull Forms Using Deep Learning", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 49, pp. 100490.1-15, pp. 2022.11.01 file 2022-11-01
91 International Journal Jin-Hyeok Kim, Myung-Il Roh, In-Chang Yeo, "Hull Form Optimization of Fully Parameterized Small Ships Using Characteristic Curves and Deep Neural Networks", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2024.05.08 file 2024-05-08
90 International Journal Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, "Ship Route Planning for Collision Avoidance Based on the Improved Isochrone Method", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2024.08.14 2024-08-14
89 International Journal Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, “Quantitative Calculation Method of the Collision Risk for Collision Avoidance in Ship Navigation Using the CPA and Ship Domain”, Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, Vol. 8, No. 3, 2021.06.01 file 2021-06-01
88 International Journal Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Ki-Su Kim, Jin-Hyeok Kim, "Method for Pipe Routing Using the Expert System and the Heuristic Pathfinding Algorithm in Shipbuilding", International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, 2023.05.26 file 2023-05-26
87 International Journal Jisang Ha, Myung-Il Roh, Seung-Ho Ham, Sung-Jun Lee, “Optimum Design of the Underwater Discharge System Based on Surrogate Modeling”, Journal of Marine Science and Technology (Taiwan), Vol. 29, No. 3, pp. 338-353, 2021.06.01 file 2021-06-01
86 International Journal John-Kyu Hwang, Myung-Il Roh, Ju-Hwan Cha, “Design Modification of a Damaged Free-Fall Lifeboat for FPSO Through Free-Fall Tests”, International Journal of Offshore and Polar Engineering, Vol. 26, No. 4, pp. 417-422, 2016.12.01 file 2016-12-01
85 International Journal John-Kyu Hwang, Myung-Il Roh, Kyu-Yeul Lee, "Detailed Design and Construction of the Hull of an FPSO(Floating, Production, Storage, and Off-loading unit)", Ships and Offshore Structures, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 93-104, 2010.06.01 file 2010-06-01
84 International Journal Joo-Pil Lee, Myung-Il Roh, Hye-Won Lee, Seung-Ho Ham, "Design of a Wreck Removal Method Considering Safety and Economy", Ships and Offshore Structures, Vol. 15, No. 10, pp. 1037-1056, 2020.12.01 file 2020-12-01
83 International Journal Ju-Hwan Cha, Myung-Il Roh, Kyu-Yeul Lee, "Combined Discrete Event and Discrete Time Simulation Framework and Its Application to the Block Erection Process in Shipbuilding", Advances In Engineering Software, Vol. 41, No. 4, pp. 656-665, 2010.04.01 file 2010-04-01
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